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Impact of H.R. 7109 on Congressional seat apportionment post-2030 Census
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in seats for states with lower non-citizen populations • 33%
Decrease in seats for states with higher non-citizen populations • 33%
No significant change in apportionment • 34%
U.S. Census Bureau reports
Story
House Passes H.R. 7109 to Count Only U.S. Citizens in 2030 Census
May 13, 2024, 05:57 PM
The U.S. House of Representatives recently passed H.R. 7109, the 'Equal Representation Act,' a bill that mandates the inclusion of a citizenship question in the 2030 Census and stipulates that only U.S. citizens be counted for the apportionment of congressional seats and Electoral College votes. This legislation, which passed on a party-line vote, aims to ensure that only American citizens are represented in Congress and seeks to address concerns about the representation distortion caused by non-citizens, while also discouraging illegal immigration. Critics argue that the bill could marginalize immigrant communities and potentially undercount the population.
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Increase • 33%
Decrease • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Positive impact for proponents • 25%
Negative impact for proponents • 25%
Positive impact for opponents • 25%
Negative impact for opponents • 25%
Increased representation • 33%
No change in representation • 33%
Decreased representation • 34%
Significant impact on election outcomes • 33%
Moderate impact on election outcomes • 33%
No significant impact on election outcomes • 34%
Increase in Black representatives • 50%
No change in Black representatives • 50%
Increased diversity • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Decreased diversity • 33%
Significant decrease • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase in registration fraud claims • 33%
Significant reduction in worker shortages • 33%
Moderate impact on worker shortages • 33%
No impact on worker shortages • 34%
Significantly affects election outcomes • 33%
Moderately affects election outcomes • 33%
Little to no effect on election outcomes • 34%
Increase in GOP seats • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in GOP seats • 25%
Increase in Democratic seats • 25%
Increase in voter turnout • 33%
Decrease in voter turnout • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significant Decrease in Migrant Flow • 33%
No Significant Change in Migrant Flow • 33%
Increase in Migrant Flow • 34%