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How will Zelensky's negotiation strategy be impacted by the Kremlin's actions by January 20, 2024?
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Kremlin•Ukrainian Armed Forces•Kursk•Trump•Ukrainian•Zelensky•Russia•North Korea•Russian•North Korean•Kyiv•Sumy•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Zelensky forced to make concessions • 25%
Zelensky strengthens negotiation position • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Ukrainian government or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Kremlin Plans Major Assault to Retake Kursk Before Trump's Inauguration on January 20
Nov 11, 2024, 08:32 PM
The Kremlin has decided to drive the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the Kursk region before January 20, the day of Trump's inauguration. This move is part of a larger strategy to prevent Ukrainian President Zelensky from manipulating the negotiating track. Tens of thousands of troops from Russia and North Korea are preparing for an assault on Ukrainian forces under a landmark new defense deal. More than 50,000 Russian and North Korean troops are reported to be bearing down on Kyiv’s forces, supported by kamikaze drone attacks. The Kremlin aims to use this counteroffensive to gain momentum and advance into the Sumy region of Ukraine.
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Ceasefire agreement • 33%
Partial agreement • 33%
No agreement • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Broad support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Other • 25%
Agrees to participate • 33%
Refuses to participate • 33%
Conditional agreement • 34%
Increased military aid • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful truce facilitated • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Increased economic support • 25%
No significant new support • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Successful negotiation and conflict resolution • 25%
Increased military aid without resolution • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Increased financial aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%