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How will U.S. policy towards the Israel-Hamas conflict change under Trump within the first 100 days?
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Donald Trump•Hamas•Trump•Sasha Toperich•Biden•Adam Boehler•Hostage Affairs•Israel•Israeli•Netanyahu•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Increased pressure on Hamas • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in involvement • 25%
Official statements or policy documents from the U.S. government
Story
Trump Ultimatum to Hamas: 'Hell to Pay' if Hostages Not Released by January 20, 2025; 'RELEASE THE HOSTAGES NOW'
Dec 8, 2024, 04:28 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a strong ultimatum regarding the release of hostages held by Hamas, stating that there will be 'hell to pay' if they are not freed before his inauguration on January 20, 2025. Trump emphasized the urgency of the situation, declaring, 'RELEASE THE HOSTAGES NOW!' during a recent statement. His remarks have garnered support from commentators, with Sasha Toperich arguing that President Biden should leverage Trump's position to pressure Hamas for a prompt release. Additionally, Adam Boehler, the nominee for Hostage Affairs, criticized the Biden administration's approach, suggesting that if they had collaborated with Israel from the outset, the hostage situation might have been avoided. Trump also expressed skepticism about the fate of the hostages, indicating a grim view of their treatment and urging Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to achieve a decisive victory in the ongoing conflict in Gaza.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire without solution • 25%
Other • 25%
Two-state solution • 25%
One-state solution • 25%
Divided • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Unchanged • 25%
Severed • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Improved • 25%
Military Strategy • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Mediation • 25%
Military support • 25%
Direct negotiation • 25%
Minor diplomatic role • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Major diplomatic role • 25%
Middle East peace process • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
China-U.S. relations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's warning • 25%
Support for Trump's warning • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%