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How will the Venezuelan government respond to opposition protests by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased repression • 25%
Dialogue with opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant response • 25%
Official government press releases and news reports
Story
María Corina Machado Emerges After 133 Days to Join Protests, Risks Arrest
Jan 9, 2025, 06:37 PM
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado emerged from hiding on Thursday to join anti-government protests in Caracas, risking arrest after 133 days in clandestinity. Accompanied by fellow opposition leader Juan Pablo Guanipa, Machado appeared atop a vehicle in the Chacao district, waving the Venezuelan flag and addressing hundreds of supporters. "We are not afraid. I am here with you, until the end," she declared. Her appearance comes ahead of President Nicolás Maduro's planned inauguration, which the opposition claims is based on a fraudulent re-election. "From today, we are in a new phase," Machado said. "Whatever they do tomorrow, they are burying themselves." Machado had been in hiding for months due to multiple arrest warrants and threats against her by the Maduro government.
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Protests subside with González in power • 25%
Protests subside with Maduro in power • 25%
Protests escalate into violence • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Peaceful with no incidents • 25%
Minor clashes, no major incidents • 25%
Major violence with fatalities • 25%
Significant clashes with injuries • 25%
Other • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Opposition gains significant political concessions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
Protests remain steady • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%