Loading...
Market
How will the casualties from the IDF airstrike on Al-Taba'een School complex be identified by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
All identified as militants • 25%
Mostly militants with some civilians • 25%
Mostly civilians with some militants • 25%
All identified as civilians • 25%
Official reports or credible media outlets
Story
IDF Confirms 38 Hamas Terrorists Killed in Gaza School Strike, No Civilian Casualties
Aug 12, 2024, 10:49 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted an airstrike on a compound in Gaza City, which they identified as a Hamas command center located within the Al-Taba'een School complex and a mosque. The IDF initially reported targeting 19 Hamas and Islamic Jihad operatives, but later confirmed that 38 terrorists were killed in the operation. The attack, which took place at 5 a.m., reportedly resulted in no civilian casualties, contrary to initial claims by Hamas and some media outlets, including CNN, that suggested up to 100 civilians, including women and children, were killed. Hamas has since revised the casualty figure to 40, with most identified as militants, though reports mention a school principal among the dead. The IDF has released names and photographs of those killed, asserting that the site was not functioning as a school at the time of the strike.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 10 • 25%
10-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
14-20 • 25%
21-27 • 25%
28-34 • 25%
35 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor procedural errors • 25%
Significant procedural errors • 25%
Intentional misconduct • 25%
Strike justified • 25%
Operational errors identified • 25%
Disciplinary actions taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20-29 • 25%
30-39 • 25%
40 or more • 25%
All six bodies identified as hostages • 25%
Some bodies identified as hostages • 25%
None of the bodies identified as hostages • 25%
Identities remain unknown • 25%
IDF found responsible • 25%
Hamas found responsible • 25%
Both parties found responsible • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%