Loading...
Market
How will the Carroll verdict affect Trump's approval rating by March 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in approval • 25%
Decrease in approval • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Public opinion polls published by reputable polling organizations
Story
Appeals Court Upholds $5 Million Sexual Abuse Verdict Against President-elect Trump; New Trial Denied
Dec 30, 2024, 03:11 PM
A federal appeals court has upheld a $5 million verdict against President-elect Donald Trump in favor of E. Jean Carroll, confirming the jury's finding that Trump sexually abused and defamed the former magazine columnist. The Second Circuit Court of Appeals denied Trump's request for a new trial, affirming the initial judgment that he is liable for sexually assaulting Carroll in a Bergdorf Goodman dressing room in the 1990s and later defaming her. Following the court's decision, Trump reposted on his Truth Social platform suggesting legal action against Carroll, asking, 'Should a woman go to jail for falsely accusing a man of rape? Retruth if you want justice for Trump.' The decision deals a blow to Trump's efforts to resolve legal issues before taking office.
View original story
Similar markets
Mostly against the verdict • 25%
Mostly supportive of verdict • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
30% to 39% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Somewhat Positive • 25%
Very Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Fluctuates but ends stable • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Fluctuating • 25%
No Change • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
Majority support conviction • 25%
Evenly divided opinion • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Low Public Awareness • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Evenly Split Opinion • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Support rallies • 25%
Major protests • 25%