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How will regional security be affected by the SDF's proposal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved security • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened security • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Reports from international security agencies or credible news sources
Story
SDF Proposes Demilitarized Zone in Kobani to Address Turkey's Security Concerns
Dec 17, 2024, 07:32 PM
Mazloum Abdi, the leader of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), has announced his readiness to establish a demilitarized zone in the city of Kobani, located near the Syria-Turkey border. This proposal includes the redistribution of security forces under U.S. supervision and presence. The initiative aims to address Turkey's security concerns and ensure lasting stability in the region. This move is part of the SDF's commitment to achieving a comprehensive ceasefire throughout Syria.
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Strengthened SDF alliances • 25%
Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other geopolitical shifts • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased security • 25%
Decreased security • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased military tensions in the region • 25%
No significant change in regional security • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations in the region • 25%
Escalation leading to a military conflict • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Stable situation • 25%
Improved security • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Israeli influence • 25%
Increased Syrian influence • 25%
Increased Hezbollah/Iran influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full integration • 25%
Partial integration • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Increased Western influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 33%
Stable situation • 33%
Decreased tensions • 34%
UN resolution • 25%
NATO intervention • 25%
No major response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%