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How will regional alliances involving Iran and Iraq shift by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened Iran-Iraq alliance • 25%
Deterioration of Iran-Iraq relations • 25%
Increased cooperation with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Analysis from geopolitical experts and credible news sources
Story
Iran-Backed Militias in Iraq Agree to Halt Missile and Drone Attacks on Israel Amid Regional Tensions and Support for Hamas
Dec 23, 2024, 07:08 AM
Iran-backed militias in Iraq have reportedly reached an agreement with the Iraqi government to cease attacks on Israel and refrain from involvement in the situation in Syria. This development comes amid a broader context of regional tensions, particularly concerning support for Hamas and the ongoing conflict in Lebanon. The agreement was highlighted by various media outlets, including the Hezbollah-affiliated Al-Akhbar. Reports indicate that the militias will maintain their anti-Israel stance but will halt missile and drone attacks as they await the policy direction of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump regarding the Middle East, especially in relation to Iran. The Iraqi government is expected to stand firm against international pressures while navigating this complex geopolitical landscape.
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Strengthened alliances • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthens Russia-Iran alliance • 25%
Weakens US influence in the region • 25%
Leads to new regional alliances • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Improved relationships • 25%
Deteriorated relationships • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Iran gains new allies • 25%
Israel gains new allies • 25%
Both gain new allies • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliance forms • 25%
Current alliances strengthen • 25%
Alliances weaken significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Iran isolated • 25%
Aligns with China • 25%
Aligns with Russia • 25%
Aligns with U.S. • 25%
Remains non-aligned • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased involvement in Yemen • 25%
Increased involvement in Syria • 25%
Increased involvement in Iraq • 25%
Other or no significant change • 25%
Iran gains new allies • 25%
Israel gains new allies • 25%
Existing alliances strengthen • 25%
No significant alliance shift • 25%