Loading...
Market
How will public perception of democracy in the US change after the 2024 election?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Declined • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Survey results from reputable polling organizations like Gallup or Pew Research
Story
Donald Trump Wins Election in Historic Comeback as Democracy Issue Dominates and Biden Withdraws
Nov 9, 2024, 10:07 PM
In a significant political shift, Donald Trump has made a historic comeback, winning the recent election. According to AP VoteCast, a survey of over 120,000 voters, democracy was a top issue, with half of the voters identifying it as their primary concern. However, voters believed that Trump was the candidate to defend democracy, which worked in favor of the Republicans. Many U.S. citizens felt humiliated by the actions of the Democratic Party, leading to a perception that the country was headed in the wrong direction. Signs of a Trump victory were evident even before Biden withdrew from the race. Kamala Harris and Trump supporters viewed the issue of democracy from different perspectives. Despite the loss, Democrats were credited for conceding the election.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased confidence • 25%
Decreased confidence • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Increased concern • 25%
Decreased concern • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by 0-10% • 25%
Decrease by 0-10% • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Majority believe it was fair • 25%
Majority believe it was rigged • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
High confidence • 25%
Moderate confidence • 25%
Low confidence • 25%
No confidence • 25%
Increased confidence • 25%
Decreased confidence • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed results • 25%
Increased belief in fraud • 25%
Decreased belief in fraud • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarization increases • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsening perception • 25%
More negative • 25%
More positive • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased perception of Trump as fascist • 25%
Decreased perception of Trump as fascist • 25%
No change in perception • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Positive • 25%
Negative • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Unaware • 25%