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How will public opinion shift regarding Netanyahu's trial by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Unchanged support levels • 25%
Support varies significantly by demographic • 25%
Public opinion polls published by reputable sources such as Pew Research Center or local Israeli polling agencies
Story
Netanyahu Faces Bribery Charges in Tel Aviv Court, First Sitting PM to Testify
Dec 10, 2024, 08:06 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appeared in a fortified Tel Aviv District Courtroom on Tuesday to testify in his long-running corruption trial, becoming the first sitting Israeli leader to take the stand as a defendant. National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir and other ministers attended the court to support Netanyahu, while protests occurred outside. Netanyahu faces charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in three separate cases involving allegations of accepting lavish gifts and trading regulatory favors for positive media coverage. The trial, which began in 2020, has been a focal point of Israeli politics, dividing public opinion. Netanyahu denies all charges, labeling the proceedings a 'witch hunt' and a 'deep state' conspiracy orchestrated by a biased legal system and media. 'I've been waiting eight years to tell the truth,' he said ahead of his testimony. If convicted, he could face up to 10 years in prison.
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Similar markets
Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Support fluctuates significantly • 25%
Strengthens Netanyahu's party • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to coalition changes • 25%
Resigns as Prime Minister • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Loses re-election • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted in all cases • 25%
Convicted in some cases • 25%
Acquitted in all cases • 25%
Mistrial or retrial • 25%
Increased by over 10% • 33%
Increased by 0-10% • 33%
Decreased • 33%
Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased political polarization • 25%
Strongly approve • 25%
Approve • 25%
Disapprove • 25%
Strongly disapprove • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Netanyahu agrees to ceasefire • 25%
Netanyahu faces formal inquiry • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Increased support for ICC • 25%
Decreased support for ICC • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority support the decision • 25%
Majority oppose the decision • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%