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How will public opinion regarding Netanyahu's leadership shift amid the scandal by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Support fluctuates significantly • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources
Story
Netanyahu's Office Engulfed in Scandal Over Classified Information Leaks; Aides Arrested
Nov 1, 2024, 05:41 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office is at the center of a major scandal involving the alleged leaking of classified documents. Several suspects, including close aides to Netanyahu, have been arrested following an investigation by the Shin Bet, IDF, Shabak, and police. The leaks reportedly involved sensitive military information related to the ongoing war in Gaza, potentially risking national security objectives. Netanyahu has denied any responsibility for the leaks, stating that there were no leaks from his office and attributing the leaks to other sources. Major news organizations, including Haaretz, are petitioning the Israeli court to lift a gag order on the case, while the opposition, led by Yair Lapid, accuses Netanyahu of being directly involved in the leaks.
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Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Unchanged support levels • 25%
Support varies significantly by demographic • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Calls for early elections • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased by over 10% • 33%
Increased by 0-10% • 33%
Decreased • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Netanyahu agrees to ceasefire • 25%
Netanyahu faces formal inquiry • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Strengthens Netanyahu's party • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to coalition changes • 25%
Strongly approve • 25%
Approve • 25%
Disapprove • 25%
Strongly disapprove • 25%
Resigns as Prime Minister • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Loses re-election • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Netanyahu • 25%
Decreased support for Netanyahu • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased political polarization • 25%
Majority support the decision • 25%
Majority oppose the decision • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%