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Market
How will political alliances shift in the Philippines by May 2025?
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Philippine•Sara Duterte•Martin Romualdez•Duterte•Liza Araneta•Presidential Communications Office•Malacañang Palace•Presidential Security Command•PSC
Resolution / Starting Odds
Duterte Gains Allies • 25%
Marcos Gains Allies • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Both Lose Allies • 25%
Political analyst reports or credible news outlets
Story
Philippine VP Duterte Threatens President, First Lady, and Speaker with Assassination if She Is Killed
Nov 23, 2024, 12:04 PM
Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte has publicly threatened President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., stating she has contracted an assassin to kill him, his wife First Lady Liza Araneta-Marcos, and House Speaker Martin Romualdez if she herself is killed. In a midnight virtual press conference, Duterte declared, 'If I get killed, go kill BBM, Liza Araneta, Martin Romualdez...no joke, no joke.' The Presidential Communications Office responded by stating her comments constitute an 'active threat' against the President's life. Malacañang Palace announced that the Presidential Security Command (PSC) will immediately act on Duterte's threat, and security agencies have stepped up safety protocols. The feud between the two powerful political families has escalated significantly.
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Similar markets
Sara Duterte • 25%
Ferdinand Marcos Jr. • 25%
Leni Robredo • 25%
Other • 25%
Relationship improves • 25%
Relationship worsens • 25%
Relationship remains unchanged • 25%
Families publicly reconcile • 25%
BNP forms new alliances • 25%
BNP loses existing alliances • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Legal actions initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sara Duterte remains VP • 25%
New VP appointed • 25%
Interim VP appointed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Democratic Party and Independents • 25%
Republican Party and Libertarians • 25%
Democratic Party and Green Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic Party of Korea • 25%
People Power Party • 25%
Justice Party • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Iran support • 25%
Increased Saudi support • 25%
Increased Egypt support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Right-wing • 25%
Left-wing • 25%
Centrist • 25%
No clear shift • 25%
Significant political shifts • 25%
Minor political changes • 25%
No substantial impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
More Republican • 25%
More Democratic • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased third-party support • 25%
Ruling party gains seats • 25%
Opposition gains seats • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other changes • 25%