Loading...
Market
How will other states react to the Supreme Court decision on the Texas age verification law within 6 months?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Official legislative actions or public statements from state governments
Story
Supreme Court to Hear Free Speech Coalition's Challenge to Texas Age Verification Law for Pornographic Websites
Jan 15, 2025, 03:50 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on a Texas law that requires age verification for accessing pornographic websites, marking a significant legal battle over free speech and child protection. The law, enacted in 2023, mandates that websites with more than one-third of content deemed 'sexual material harmful to minors' must verify the age of visitors using digital identification or government-issued ID. The Free Speech Coalition, representing the adult entertainment industry, challenges the law, arguing it infringes on adults' First Amendment rights by imposing burdensome verification processes. Texas defends the law as necessary to protect children from accessing harmful content online. The case has drawn attention from 18 other states with similar laws and has led to major pornography websites like Pornhub blocking access in Texas. The Supreme Court's decision could impact the future of online content regulation across the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority oppose the decision • 25%
Low public interest • 25%
Majority support the decision • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mixed outcomes across states • 25%
More states enact similar bans • 25%
Some states repeal similar bans • 25%
No change in other states • 25%
No significant change in states' laws • 25%
More than 10 states repeal similar laws • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
More than 10 states uphold similar laws • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
No change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Weaken shield laws • 25%
Strengthen shield laws • 25%
No change • 25%
Introduce new laws • 25%
New York • 25%
Other • 25%
California • 25%
Illinois • 25%
Majority support the ruling • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant public response • 25%
Majority oppose the ruling • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
Introduce opposing legislation • 25%
Introduce supportive legislation • 25%