Loading...
Market
What will be the U.S. Congress's reaction following the Supreme Court ruling on Tennessee's ban by December 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Introduce supportive legislation • 25%
Introduce opposing legislation • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Congressional records and legislative actions
Story
Supreme Court to Hear Arguments on Tennessee's Ban on Gender-Affirming Care for Minors
Dec 4, 2024, 03:16 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments in a landmark case, U.S. v. Skrmetti, challenging Tennessee's law that bans gender-affirming care for transgender minors. This case marks the first time the Supreme Court will consider the constitutionality of state laws restricting youth access to such care, which includes hormone therapy, puberty blockers, and surgeries. The arguments will revolve around whether these bans violate the Equal Protection Clause of the 14th Amendment. The case has drawn significant attention, with protests occurring outside the Supreme Court and a transgender attorney from the ACLU set to argue in favor of overturning the ban. The outcome could set a precedent for similar laws in 26 other states and potentially affect future legislation regarding transgender rights and medical care for minors.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority support the ruling • 25%
No significant public response • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose the ruling • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Dismissed without ruling • 25%
S.B.1 struck down • 25%
S.B.1 upheld • 25%
Case partially upheld • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold the law • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Remand for further consideration • 25%
Strike down the law • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Minimal public reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Strikes down the ban • 25%
Dismisses the case • 25%
Partial ruling, modifying the ban • 25%
Upholds the ban • 25%
Ban struck down • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
Ban struck down • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Case remanded to lower court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in states with bans • 33%
Decrease in states with bans • 33%
No change • 34%