Loading...
Market
How will Mexico respond to Trump's tariff threat by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from the Mexican government or official trade policy announcements
Story
Trump's 25% Tariff Threat on Canada, Mexico Over Border Enforcement Risks NAFTA Stability
Nov 30, 2024, 11:35 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns about border enforcement. This move is seen as a potential threat to North American economic integration, established through the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994. Economists warn that such tariffs could 'destroy prosperity on both sides of the border,' potentially upending decades of economic cooperation and integration between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase border security • 25%
Negotiate trade terms • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Complies with demands • 25%
Negotiates a compromise • 25%
Retaliates with tariffs • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Implement new border security measures • 25%
Negotiate with the U.S. • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Introduce retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Seek diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiate with the US • 25%
Implement counter-tariffs • 25%
Take no action • 25%
Other response • 25%
Mexico complies with demands • 25%
Mexico negotiates alternative solution • 25%
Mexico retaliates with own tariffs • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mexico imposes retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Mexico seeks renegotiation of trade terms • 25%
Mexico takes no immediate action • 25%
Mexico files a complaint with the WTO • 25%
Increased drug seizures • 25%
Trade negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Negotiations without tariffs • 25%
No response • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Legal action through WTO • 25%
No significant action • 25%
