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How will Iran officially respond to missile transfer allegations by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Admits transfer of non-ballistic missiles • 25%
Denies all missile transfers • 25%
Admits transfer of ballistic missiles • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government or verified news reports
Story
Iran Acknowledges Sending Missiles to Russia, Denies Ballistic Claims, Less Than 250km Range
Oct 13, 2024, 08:24 AM
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has acknowledged that Iran sent missiles to Russia with a range of less than 250 kilometers. However, Araghchi claimed these were not ballistic missiles. This statement was made during his visit to New York and was reported by the Wall Street Journal, citing a senior EU official. Contradicting this, Araghchi later denied the reports, asserting that Iran has not provided ballistic missiles to Russia. He criticized European officials, suggesting they were using this narrative to justify their submission to Israeli pressure. Araghchi also denied confirming the transfer of 'short-range rockets' during a meeting with the European Union’s foreign policy chief.
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Iran confirms deliveries • 25%
Iran denies deliveries • 25%
Iran claims no knowledge • 25%
No official response • 25%
Deny allegations • 25%
Admit to receiving documents • 25%
No official response • 25%
Counter-accusations against the U.S. • 25%
Denial and no action • 25%
Admits and apologizes • 25%
Counter-accusations • 25%
Seeks diplomatic resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New Sanctions • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Action • 25%
Retaliatory actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
Admit Involvement • 25%
No Comment • 25%
Other • 25%
