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How will China respond to potential Western penalties related to Taiwan?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic countermeasures • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or credible international news sources
Story
China Imposes Sanctions on Russia, Studies Evasion Strategies for Taiwan Conflict
Dec 1, 2024, 04:03 AM
China has imposed new sanctions on the supply of equipment and chemicals to Russia, signaling a potential shift in its stance amid rising tensions with Western countries. The new restrictions may complicate the export of critical products to Russia, with analysts suggesting that U.S. influence may have played a role in this decision. In response to the sanctions, China has formed a dedicated team to assess their impact, according to the Wall Street Journal. Additionally, officials in Beijing are reportedly studying Russia's strategies for evading sanctions to prepare for potential conflicts, such as a Taiwan-related scenario, and the associated Western penalties.
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Implement counter-sanctions • 25%
Seek diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase military posturing • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase foreign reserve diversification • 25%
Strengthen economic ties with Russia • 25%
Develop new trade routes with non-Western countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Resume nuclear arms talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Other retaliatory measures • 25%