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Market
How many seats will Reform UK win on July 4?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
0 • 33%
1-2 • 33%
3 or more • 33%
Official election results from the UK Electoral Commission
Story
Nigel Farage Named Leader of Reform UK, Will Stand as MP for Clacton in July 4th Election
Jun 3, 2024, 03:17 PM
Nigel Farage has been announced as the new leader of Reform UK, replacing Richard Tice. Farage, a prominent Brexit campaigner, will also stand as a parliamentary candidate for the Clacton constituency in the upcoming general election. This move comes ahead of the general election scheduled for July 4th. Farage's return to frontline politics is seen as a significant development, with potential implications for the Conservative Party, which he claims is on the brink of collapse. Farage described the current situation as the 'dullest election campaign' and plans to lead Reform UK for the next five years. This marks his eighth attempt to enter Parliament, following a major U-turn in his decision. Richard Tice will now serve as the Chairman of Reform UK.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wins 0-5 seats • 33%
Wins 6-10 seats • 33%
Wins more than 10 seats • 34%
Labour • 25%
Reform UK • 25%
Conservatives • 25%
Liberal Democrats • 25%
Labour majority • 25%
Conservative majority • 25%
Reform UK majority • 25%
No overall majority • 25%
Increase in Seats • 33%
Decrease in Seats • 33%
No Change • 33%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Less than 400 • 25%
400-419 • 25%
420-439 • 25%
440 or more • 25%