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Market
How many positions will DOGE fill by mid-2025?
3
Elon Musk•Department of Government Efficiency•DOGE•Mark Penn•Musk•Donald Trump•Madison Square Garden•Trump•Vivek Ramaswamy
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
No positions filled • 25%
Official announcements from DOGE or government HR publications
Story
Elon Musk Revises DOGE Budget Cut Goal from $2 Trillion to $1 Trillion, Citing Best-Case Outcome
Jan 9, 2025, 12:35 PM
Elon Musk, co-head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), has backtracked on his earlier claim that the group could find $2 trillion in federal budget cuts from the $6.8 trillion federal budget. In a recent interview with Mark Penn, Musk described the $2 trillion target as a 'best-case outcome,' suggesting that achieving half that amount, or $1 trillion, might be more realistic. This adjustment comes after Musk had previously stated at a rally for President-elect Donald Trump at Madison Square Garden that he could cut at least $2 trillion from the federal budget. The DOGE, an advisory body without official authority, established by Trump in reference to an internet meme, aims to recommend ways to reduce federal spending and improve government efficiency. Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, the other co-head of DOGE, are currently hiring for various positions to support their cost-cutting efforts, with plans to make recommendations after Trump is sworn in for his second term.
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Plan abandoned • 25%
Plan fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implementation ongoing • 25%
Public Sector Innovation • 25%
Regulatory Streamlining • 25%
Budget Reduction • 25%
Other • 25%
50% to 70% support • 25%
More than 70% support • 25%
30% to 50% support • 25%
Less than 30% support • 25%
Tax Code Simplification • 25%
IT System Modernization • 25%
Pentagon Audit Improvements • 25%
Foreign Aid Transparency • 25%
Significant efficiency improvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Negative impact on efficiency • 25%
Minimal changes • 25%
Moderate approval (40-60%) • 25%
Divided opinion (no clear majority) • 25%
Low approval (under 40%) • 25%
High approval (over 60%) • 25%
Economic growth with inflation • 25%
Economic recession • 25%
No economic growth • 25%
Economic growth without inflation • 25%
