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How many key members will depart from OpenAI by end of 2024 following the security allegations?
5
Leopold Aschenbrenner•OpenAI•Aschenbrenner•Superalignment•AGI•Chinese Communist Party•CCP•Ilya•Emergent Ventures•SamA•AI
Resolution / Starting Odds
1-2 key members depart • 33%
3-5 key members depart • 33%
More than 5 key members depart • 34%
Official announcements from OpenAI, credible news sources
Story
Former OpenAI Superalignment Team Member Leopold Aschenbrenner Alleges Firing Over Security Concerns
Jun 4, 2024, 07:42 PM
Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former employee of OpenAI, has come forward with allegations that he was fired for raising security concerns to the company's board. Aschenbrenner, who was part of OpenAI's recently-disbanded Superalignment team, claims that AI labs, including OpenAI, treat security as an afterthought and are potentially compromising key secrets for AGI to foreign entities such as the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). He shared a non-confidential document about safety ideas with external researchers, which led to his dismissal. Before his termination, OpenAI lawyers questioned his loyalty. Aschenbrenner, an Ilya ally and Emergent Ventures alumni, did not sign the SamA letter. His dismissal has sparked significant discussion and controversy within the AI community.
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No change in leadership • 25%
Sam Altman resigns • 25%
Greg Brockman resigns • 25%
Other major leadership changes • 25%
Up to 10 people • 25%
11-20 people • 25%
21-30 people • 25%
More than 30 people • 25%
CEO change • 25%
CTO change • 25%
New AI Safety Lead • 25%
No major changes • 25%
No change in leadership • 50%
Change in CEO • 25%
Change in other senior management • 25%
No change in leadership • 34%
CEO replaced • 33%
Other executive changes • 33%
Mostly current members • 33%
Mostly new members • 33%
Even mix of current and new members • 34%
Less than 10 • 25%
Between 10 and 20 • 25%
Between 20 and 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
