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How many countries will report confirmed cases of Marburg virus by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
1-3 • 25%
4-6 • 25%
7-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
World Health Organization (WHO) official reports
Story
WHO Announces Marburg Virus Outbreak in Rwanda, Nine Dead, No Outbreak in Belgium
Oct 2, 2024, 12:37 PM
The World Health Organization (WHO) has announced an outbreak of the Marburg virus in Rwanda. The virus, which causes severe hemorrhagic fever, has resulted in nine fatalities. Despite fears and misinformation, there is no major outbreak in Belgium. A contact of the suspected index case traveled to Belgium but is now outside the incubation period and does not have the virus. Hospital visits have been banned. Experts emphasize that the response and support should be focused on Rwanda.
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No further spread • 25%
Spread to 1-2 new countries • 25%
Spread to 3-5 new countries • 25%
Spread to more than 5 new countries • 25%
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1 • 25%
2 to 3 • 25%
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51-100 • 25%
101-200 • 25%
201+ • 25%
No spread outside Kigali • 25%
Spread to 1-2 other regions • 25%
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Spread to 6+ other regions • 25%