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How many regions outside Kigali will report Marburg virus cases by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No spread outside Kigali • 25%
Spread to 1-2 other regions • 25%
Spread to 3-5 other regions • 25%
Spread to 6+ other regions • 25%
Official reports from Rwanda Ministry of Health or WHO
Story
Rwanda Confirms First Marburg Virus Outbreak in Kigali Health Facilities
Sep 27, 2024, 03:22 PM
Rwanda has confirmed cases of Marburg viral disease, a serious hemorrhagic fever similar to Ebola. The Ministry of Health is investigating the origin of the infection, with all infected individuals currently isolated. The exact number of confirmed cases has not been disclosed. Reports indicate that the infections are located in multiple health facilities, suggesting the virus may have been spreading for some time. Rwanda has implemented enhanced preventive measures to combat the outbreak. This is the first time Marburg has been diagnosed in Rwanda, with cases reported in Kigali. Household members and healthcare workers are at particular risk.
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Similar markets
None • 25%
1-2 countries • 25%
3-4 countries • 25%
5 or more countries • 25%
Less than 50 cases • 25%
50-100 cases • 25%
101-200 cases • 25%
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0 • 25%
1 • 25%
2 to 3 • 25%
4 or more • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50-99 • 25%
100-199 • 25%
200 or more • 25%
Under 50 • 25%
50 to 99 • 25%
100 to 199 • 25%
200 or more • 25%
Less than 20 deaths • 25%
20-50 deaths • 25%
51-100 deaths • 25%
More than 100 deaths • 25%
No further spread • 25%
Spread to 1-2 new countries • 25%
Spread to 3-5 new countries • 25%
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No additional cases • 25%
1-10 additional cases • 25%
11-50 additional cases • 25%
More than 50 additional cases • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 999 • 25%
1000 to 1999 • 25%
2000 or more • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 200 • 25%
201 to 300 • 25%
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11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31-40 • 25%
41 or more • 25%
