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Market
Group most prominently supporting James McIntyre post-assault by mid-2025?
2
Nancy Mace•South Carolina•Capitol•James McIntyre•Cook County•Illinois•Rayburn House Office Building•Mace•Capitol Police•McIntyre•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Transgender rights groups • 25%
Civil liberties organizations • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from advocacy groups and media coverage
Story
Transgender Rights Activist James McIntyre Assaults Rep. Nancy Mace, Causing Minor Injuries
Dec 11, 2024, 01:05 PM
U.S. Representative Nancy Mace (R-South Carolina) was assaulted on Capitol grounds by James McIntyre, a 33-year-old transgender rights activist from Cook County, Illinois. The incident occurred around 6 p.m. on Tuesday in the Rayburn House Office Building, resulting in minor injuries to Mace's arm and wrist, necessitating a wrist brace. Capitol Police arrested McIntyre following the altercation. Mace has been vocal about protecting women's spaces, which has reportedly led to threats from trans and queer activists. The suspect was charged with assaulting a member of Congress.
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Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Support for Mace increases • 25%
Support for McIntyre increases • 25%
Polarized reactions • 25%
Minimal public interest • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
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Convicted of assault • 25%
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Case Dismissed • 25%
Convicted of assault • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
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Support for Mace • 25%
Calls for policy change • 25%
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Current cast members • 25%
Former cast members • 25%
Family members • 25%
No public support • 25%
Guilty of assault • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
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Seen as assault • 25%
Seen as misunderstanding • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Little public interest • 25%
Only Macron • 25%
Macron and Paris Mayor • 25%
Macron, Paris Mayor, and other political figures • 25%
No further public statements of support • 25%