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Market
Public perception of McIntyre-Mace incident by Feb 28, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Seen as assault • 25%
Seen as misunderstanding • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Little public interest • 25%
Opinion polls and media analysis
Story
James McIntyre Arrested for Allegedly Assaulting Rep. Nancy Mace at Capitol Event
Dec 11, 2024, 01:58 PM
Representative Nancy Mace (R-SC) was allegedly assaulted by James McIntyre, a 33-year-old transgender activist from Cook County, Illinois, at the U.S. Capitol on Tuesday night. The incident took place inside the Rayburn House Office Building during a foster youth event. McIntyre allegedly grabbed Mace's arm and wrist, causing injuries that required medical attention, including a wrist brace. The U.S. Capitol Police arrested McIntyre, charging him with assaulting a government official. The altercation reportedly stemmed from Mace's stance on transgender rights, particularly her support for legislation restricting transgender access to women's facilities. However, a foster care advocacy group disputes the assault claim, suggesting the interaction was merely a handshake during an amicable greeting. President Trump reportedly called Mace to check on her well-being following the incident.
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Support for Mace increases • 25%
Support for McIntyre increases • 25%
Polarized reactions • 25%
Minimal public interest • 25%
Support for McIntyre • 25%
Support for Mace • 25%
Calls for policy change • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Majority support Mace's account • 25%
Majority support McIntyre's account • 25%
Opinion is divided • 25%
Majority are indifferent • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
LGBTQ+ advocacy group • 25%
Women's rights organization • 25%
Political party • 25%
None • 25%
Majority believe Mace's account • 25%
Majority believe McIntyre's account • 25%
Public opinion remains divided • 25%
Incident largely forgotten • 25%
Support for Trump campaign increases • 25%
Support for Trump campaign decreases • 25%
Support for the cemetery employee increases • 25%
Support for the cemetery employee decreases • 25%
Majority believe Mace's account • 25%
Majority believe witnesses' account • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority believe intentional misrepresentation • 25%
Majority believe miscalculations • 25%
Majority believe other reasons • 25%
Majority believe no discrepancies found • 25%
Widespread outrage • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly indifferent • 25%
Other • 25%
Support for Mace increases • 25%
Support for Mace decreases • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Assassination Attempt • 25%
Terrorist Attack • 25%
Accident • 25%
Other • 25%