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Market
Global political response to COVID-19 lab leak allegations by end of 2024
5
Wuhan•Peter Daszak•Ralph Baric•Wuhan Institute of Virology•Chinese military•EcoHealth Alliance•Daszak•Chinese Communist Party•CCP•WHO
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased scrutiny and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations without sanctions • 25%
No change in current policies • 25%
Enhanced cooperative scientific investigation • 25%
Public statements, policy changes or sanctions from governments
Story
Congressional Testimonies Link COVID-19 to Wuhan Lab Leak, 20 Million Dead
May 13, 2024, 11:08 AM
Recent revelations from U.S. lawmakers and congressional testimonies suggest that COVID-19, which resulted in 20 million deaths, may have originated from a lab leak in Wuhan, contradicting earlier assertions of a natural origin. Documents uncovered by U.S. lawmakers, along with testimonies from key figures such as Peter Daszak and Ralph Baric, have fueled the lab leak theory. These figures have been accused of downplaying alternative theories and lacking transparency about their work in Wuhan. The Wuhan Institute of Virology, noted for its close ties to the Chinese military, and the EcoHealth Alliance, led by Daszak, are at the center of these allegations. The controversy has sparked bipartisan demands for accountability and transparency, emphasizing the need for a reevaluation of the pandemic's origins, amidst allegations of a cover-up by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and misinformation by the WHO.
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No further action • 33%
Launch of a new investigation • 33%
Public reprimand or policy change • 33%
US imposes sanctions • 33%
EU imposes sanctions • 33%
No major actions taken • 34%
Natural origin • 33%
Lab leak • 33%
Inconclusive • 33%
Increase in diplomatic tensions • 25%
No change in diplomatic relations • 25%
Strengthened espionage laws • 25%
Public denouncement of allegations • 25%
Support U.S. Actions • 33%
Oppose U.S. Actions • 33%
Remain Neutral • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral / No comment • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military maneuver • 33%
Natural origin majority • 33%
Lab leak majority • 33%
Split opinion • 33%
Follow U.S. policy • 33%
Reject U.S. policy • 33%
Stay neutral • 33%
Strengthened international regulations • 25%
Targeted sanctions on individuals • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
NATO military response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased support to Ukraine • 25%