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Final Vote Margin in Pennsylvania Senate Race by Dec 31, 2024
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Democrat•Bob Casey•Pennsylvania Senate•Republican Dave McCormick•Associated Press•Decision Desk HQ•McCormick•Senate•Washington•Casey•Chuck Schumer
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 votes • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 votes • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 votes • 25%
More than 30,000 votes • 25%
Official certified election results from Pennsylvania state election officials
Story
Trailing by 30,000 Votes, Senator Bob Casey Refuses to Concede Pennsylvania Senate Race
Nov 14, 2024, 07:35 PM
Democrat Senator Bob Casey is refusing to concede the Pennsylvania Senate race despite trailing Republican Dave McCormick by approximately 30,000 votes. Multiple news outlets, including the Associated Press and Decision Desk HQ, have projected McCormick as the winner, and McCormick has begun attending Senate orientation in Washington. Casey insists on waiting until "every vote is counted," stating, "We gotta count the votes." The McCormick campaign describes his lead as "insurmountable" and considers a recount to be a waste of time and taxpayer money, potentially costing millions. Several commentators and political figures have called for Casey to concede, with some labeling him an "election denier." Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has welcomed McCormick among the new senators.
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McCormick wins by more than 1,000 votes • 25%
McCormick wins by 1,000 votes or less • 25%
Casey wins by 1,000 votes or less • 25%
Casey wins by more than 1,000 votes • 25%
Less than 10,000 votes • 25%
10,000 to 15,000 votes • 25%
15,001 to 20,000 votes • 25%
More than 20,000 votes • 25%
Less than 0.1% • 25%
0.1% to 0.5% • 25%
0.5% to 1% • 25%
Greater than 1% • 25%
Less than 49% • 25%
49% to 49.5% • 25%
49.5% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
David McCormick wins • 33%
Bob Casey wins • 33%
Recount inconclusive • 34%
Less than 1,000 votes • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 votes • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 votes • 25%
More than 10,000 votes • 25%
Less than 0.5% • 25%
0.5% to 1% • 25%
1% to 2% • 25%
More than 2% • 25%
Bob Casey Wins • 25%
Dave McCormick Wins • 25%
Recount Declared Invalid • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
