Loading...
Market
Final legal fate of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Death penalty • 25%
Life imprisonment • 25%
Plea deal accepted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official court records and government announcements
Story
Pentagon Moves to Block Guantanamo Plea Deals That Spare 9/11 Defendants From Death Penalty
Jan 8, 2025, 12:52 AM
The Biden administration has asked a federal appeals court to block plea agreements for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the alleged mastermind of the 9/11 attacks, and two other defendants held at Guantanamo Bay. The plea deals, scheduled to be accepted on Friday, would allow the defendants to avoid the death penalty in exchange for guilty pleas. The Pentagon filed an emergency appeal after a military judge refused to invalidate the agreements, despite Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's decision to revoke them. The government's motion aims to prevent the military judge from accepting the plea agreements, moving the question from military to civilian courts.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Identified as a high-profile associate of Osama bin Laden • 25%
Identified as a low-level associate • 25%
Identified as a mid-level associate • 25%
Identity remains undisclosed • 25%
Remain in Guantanamo • 25%
Released within the U.S. • 25%
Transferred to other countries • 25%
Other • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Guilty pleas rejected • 25%
Guilty pleas accepted • 25%
Plea hearings delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%