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Explosion killing Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov declared terrorism by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian government or law enforcement agencies
Story
Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov and Assistant Killed in Moscow Explosion on Ryazansky Prospect
Dec 17, 2024, 05:28 AM
An explosion on Ryazansky Prospect in Moscow early Tuesday morning around 6 AM killed Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, the head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical (NBC) Protection Troops, and his assistant. The explosion reportedly occurred near the entrance of an apartment building, possibly due to a device attached to an electric scooter parked nearby. Russian authorities have confirmed the deaths and opened a criminal investigation into the incident. Investigators are on the scene, and the area has been cordoned off.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukrainian operatives • 25%
Internal Russian dissidents • 25%
Foreign agents • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Internal Dissidents • 25%
Foreign Intelligence Agency • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal factions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Internal Russian actors • 25%
Other foreign entities • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Ukraine • 25%
Evidence implicating the U.S. • 25%
Other findings • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Foreign sabotage • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
