Loading...
Market
Outcome of investigation into Moscow explosion by May 31, 2025
2
Igor Kirillov•Russian Armed Forces•Moscow•Ryazansky Prospekt•Investigative Committee•Svetlana Petrenko•Kirillov•Russia•Ukrainian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Terrorist attack • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Final report from Russian authorities or the Investigative Committee
Story
Russian Chemical Defense Chief Lt. Gen. Kirillov, Assistant Killed in Moscow Blast
Dec 17, 2024, 05:57 AM
Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, the head of the Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Troops of the Russian Armed Forces, was killed along with his assistant, identified as Ilya P., in an explosion in Moscow early on December 17, 2024. The explosion occurred near the entrance of an apartment building on Ryazansky Prospekt around 6 AM, reportedly caused by an explosive device attached to a parked electric scooter. The Investigative Committee's spokeswoman, Svetlana Petrenko, confirmed the deaths. Kirillov was a high-ranking military official responsible for Russia's nuclear, chemical, and biological defense forces. Ukrainian prosecutors had charged him with war crimes involving the use of chemical weapons just one day prior to his death.
View original story
Similar markets
Evidence implicating the U.S. • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Ukraine • 25%
Other findings • 25%
No suspect found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Suspect acquitted • 25%
Suspect convicted • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
Foreign sabotage • 25%
Intentional • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Interpol • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Fully functional • 25%
Partially functional • 25%
Non-functional • 25%
Mixed target • 25%
Confirmed military target • 25%
Confirmed civilian target • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Conviction on terrorism charges • 25%
Case still pending • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction on lesser charges • 25%