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Effect on Sanchez's government post-Catalonia elections?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened • 33%
Weakened • 33%
Unchanged • 34%
Government statements, votes of confidence, or credible political analysis
Story
Spain's Socialists Win Catalan Election with 85% Ballots Counted, End Separatist Rule
May 12, 2024, 09:02 PM
In a significant regional election in Catalonia, Spain's Socialist Party emerged victorious with 85% of ballots counted, effectively ending over a decade of separatist governance in the wealthy northeastern region. The election results have dealt a considerable blow to the separatist movement, which has been a dominant force in Catalan politics, and to the aspirations of exiled separatist leader Carles Puigdemont. This shift in power is seen as a critical test for the strength of the separatist movement and has implications for the national political landscape, potentially affecting Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's coalition government in Madrid.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Positive reception • 33%
Neutral reception • 33%
Negative reception • 34%
Increase in GDP • 25%
Decrease in GDP • 25%
Increase in unemployment • 25%
Decrease in unemployment • 25%
Significant Improvement • 25%
Moderate Improvement • 25%
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Decline • 25%
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Somewhat Favorable • 25%
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Highly Unfavorable • 25%
Increased support for the ruling party • 25%
Increased support for the opposition • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased voter turnout • 25%
Support for the result • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Criticism of the result • 25%
Call for additional dialogue • 25%
Conservative Majority • 33%
Socialist Majority • 33%
Other Party Majority • 34%
Strengthened political position • 25%
Weakened political position • 25%
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Increased opposition collaboration • 25%
Increased • 50%
Unchanged • 50%