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Donald Trump to announce new strategy against Iran by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements or press releases from Donald Trump or his official representatives
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U.S. DOJ Reveals Iranian Murder-for-Hire Plot to Assassinate Trump on Friday
Nov 12, 2024, 10:05 AM
The U.S. Justice Department revealed on Friday an Iranian murder-for-hire plot to assassinate former President Donald Trump. The plot is believed to be in retaliation for the U.S. killing of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani. Iran has responded with a cryptic statement, while some speculate Trump may adopt a 'maximum pressure' approach against Iran and its proxies. The situation has raised concerns about potential escalation in the Gulf region, with fears of an all-out conflict. Regional diplomats are wary that Trump’s actions could lead to increased tensions and instability.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agreement on joint military action • 25%
Agreement on increased sanctions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other diplomatic measures • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
