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Market
Deployment areas of new Russian citizens in Ukraine by mid-2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Eastern Ukraine • 25%
Southern Ukraine • 25%
Northern Ukraine • 25%
Western Ukraine • 25%
Verified reports from credible news agencies and official Russian announcements
Story
Russia Deploys 10,000 New Citizens, Bastrykin Reveals 30,000 Migrants, Building Fortifications in Ukraine
Jun 27, 2024, 08:53 AM
Russia has deployed approximately 10,000 immigrants who recently obtained citizenship to Ukraine for military activities, following increased efforts to ensure military registration among new nationals. The head of Russia's Investigative Committee, Alexander Bastrykin, disclosed that over 30,000 migrants acquired citizenship but did not register for military service. Bastrykin mentioned that the deployed citizens are involved in constructing fortifications and trenches, indicating they are not engaged in combat missions.
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Eastern Ukraine • 25%
Western Ukraine • 25%
Southern Ukraine • 25%
Northern Ukraine • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Russia gains territory • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remain under Russian control • 25%
Returned to Ukraine • 25%
Under international administration • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Kursk • 25%
Belgorod • 25%
Bryansk • 25%
Other • 25%
Civilian areas • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Transportation networks • 25%
Military Aircraft • 25%
Military Base • 25%
Logistics Hub • 25%
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Significant gains (more than 50% of Donbas) • 25%
Moderate gains (25-50% of Donbas) • 25%
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No gains • 25%
Less than 25 km • 25%
25 to 50 km • 25%
51 to 75 km • 25%
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Kyiv • 25%
Kharkiv • 25%
Lviv • 25%
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50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
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Crimea • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Luhansk • 25%
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