Loading...
Market
Country leading diplomatic de-escalation efforts if Russia threatens nuclear use in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Credible international news agencies or official statements
Story
Blinken Expresses Concern Over Russia's Potential Nuclear Weapon Use, Cites China's Intervention
Jan 6, 2025, 05:06 AM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has expressed concerns about Russia's potential use of nuclear weapons, stating that the U.S. was 'very concerned' due to indications that Russian President Vladimir Putin might be considering this option. Blinken noted that even a slight increase in the probability of nuclear weapon use, from 5% to 15%, is a serious matter. He also revealed that China had intervened to dissuade Russia from nuclear escalation in Ukraine, with Beijing reportedly telling Moscow, 'Don’t go there.'
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military build-up by NATO • 25%
Escalation • 25%
De-escalation Achieved • 25%
Resolution through Conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
Engage in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase nuclear arsenal • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Successful De-escalation • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Passive Support • 25%
Opposes Mediation • 25%
Active Mediation • 25%
No Involvement • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%