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Countries providing security guarantees under Trump's plan by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Only European countries • 25%
Including the US • 25%
Including Russia • 25%
None provide guarantees • 25%
Official announcements from the countries involved and international bodies
Story
Trump's Team Crafts New Peace Plan for Ukraine: WSJ Reports NATO Membership Delay for 20 Years
Nov 7, 2024, 07:09 AM
Donald Trump, who has spoken of his good relations with President Vladimir Putin, has repeatedly stated that he could bring a swift end to the nearly three-year conflict in Ukraine. Trump's team is reportedly crafting a new peace plan for Ukraine, according to WSJ, which includes delaying Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years, establishing a 1,200 km demilitarized zone along the current front line, and leaving 20% of occupied Ukrainian territory under Russian control. The plan has drawn criticism for aligning closely with Kremlin interests and potentially allowing Russia to re-arm and re-invade a non-aligned Ukraine. Only Europe is allowed to provide security guarantees under this plan.
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Return of nuclear weapons • 25%
Increased conventional weapons stockpile • 25%
Increased NATO presence • 25%
No additional guarantees • 25%
Australia • 25%
Canada • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
None • 25%
Support and implement the plan • 25%
Reject the plan • 25%
Modify and implement the plan • 25%
No official response • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase contributions • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease contributions • 25%
Publicly criticize Trump's stance • 25%
Poland • 25%
Estonia • 25%
Latvia • 25%
Other • 25%
Hungary • 25%
Poland • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
Romania • 25%
Poland • 25%
Germany • 25%
Britain • 25%
France • 25%
Italy • 25%
Poland • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%