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Congressional investigation into political interference claims in Jack Smith's investigations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Congress or related committees
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Jack Smith Resigns After Leading Two Trump Investigations, Dismisses Political Interference Claims
Jan 15, 2025, 11:11 AM
Special Counsel Jack Smith, who led two federal criminal investigations against former President Donald Trump, resigned on January 10 ahead of Trump's inauguration as president-elect. The investigations focused on allegations that Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 presidential election results and mishandled classified documents. Smith's final report, released after his resignation, detailed why he did not charge Trump with incitement of insurrection under 18 USC 2383, citing insufficient evidence to prove that the January 6 Capitol riot constituted an insurrection or that Trump incited it. Despite this, Smith expressed confidence that Trump could have been convicted on other charges had he not won the election. The report also dismissed claims of political interference in the prosecution as 'laughable.'
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal censure of Trump • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New legislation proposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Trump faces new charges • 25%
Report has no significant impact • 25%
Report leads to policy changes • 25%
No new charges against Trump • 25%
