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Change in leadership of counter-terrorism operations in Pakistan by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No Change • 25%
New Military Leader • 25%
New Civilian Leader • 25%
Joint Leadership • 25%
Official announcements or news reports
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Pakistan Launches Operation Azm-e-Istehkam, Readies for New CPEC Phase
Jun 22, 2024, 03:48 PM
Pakistan has announced the launch of Operation Azm-e-Istehkam, a major counter-terrorism initiative aimed at combating terrorism and extremism across the country. The decision was made during a meeting of the Central Apex Committee, chaired by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. This operation follows a request from Beijing for Islamabad to take decisive action against militancy. The initiative underscores Pakistan's commitment to rooting out terrorism, with support from all stakeholders, including the Gilgit region. The operation is part of the National Action Plan.
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Chief of Army Staff • 25%
Commander of the affected region • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Significant reduction in TTP influence • 25%
Minor reduction in TTP influence • 25%
No change in TTP influence • 25%
Increase in TTP influence • 25%
Yes, in top 3 groups • 33%
Yes, in less influential groups • 33%
No changes • 33%
Aleksey Dyumin remains • 25%
New coordinator appointed • 25%
Temporary leadership changes • 25%
Operation disbanded • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Resignation of top military officials • 25%
Reorganization of military command • 25%
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New leader announced • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
Leadership dispute • 25%
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