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Change in Iran's military strategy by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New military leadership • 25%
Increased military development • 25%
De-escalation measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official Iranian government announcements and verified news outlets
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Israel Targets Iran's Parchin Military Complex, Including Rocket Motor Plant
Oct 26, 2024, 02:52 PM
Israel has reportedly targeted Iran's Parchin military complex, located 30 km southeast of Tehran. The Parchin site is known for its research, development, and production of missiles, rockets, and chemical weapons, and has faced scrutiny over potential links to nuclear weapons and ballistic missile development. One of the confirmed targets was Iran's new solid-propellant rocket motor plant, inaugurated in 2021. Satellite images have shown that the Parchin military base was among the targets of the Israeli Air Force's barrages.
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More Aggressive • 25%
More Defensive • 25%
No Change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Increased missile production • 25%
Decreased missile production • 25%
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Development of new military technology • 25%
Rebuilding missile production • 25%
Enhancing air defense systems • 25%
Cyber warfare capabilities • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Offensive operations against HTS • 25%
Counteracting Israeli influence • 25%
Supporting Syrian government offensives • 25%
Increased military presence in the region • 25%
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Partial withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Air Defense Restoration • 25%
Missile Production Increase • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Missile strikes • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile attacks • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Missile technology • 25%
Drone technology • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Naval capabilities • 25%
Israel • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Replaced with more hardline leaders • 25%
Replaced with more moderate leaders • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased influence of Revolutionary Guard • 25%