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VisitCapture or neutralization of Hamas leader Sinwar by June 30?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces or credible news reports
Israel to Launch Imminent Rafah Operation, Sinwar 'On Borrowed Time'
May 6, 2024, 11:52 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has announced an imminent military operation in Rafah, Gaza, in response to Hamas's refusal to agree to a ceasefire and hostage release proposals. The operation, described as necessary due to the lack of alternatives, follows unsuccessful ceasefire talks and Hamas's consistent rejection of any agreement framework. Gallant communicated these developments to U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, emphasizing that Israel had no choice but to initiate the offensive. This escalation comes amid warnings from Hamas that any operation in Rafah will be challenging for Israeli forces. Additionally, Israel's National Security Advisor noted that IDF will enter Rafah very soon and that Hamas chief Sinwar is 'living on borrowed time'.
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Ismail Haniyeh • 33%
Yahya Sinwar • 33%
No Change • 34%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate deterioration • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Increased opposition • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
No change in stance • 25%