Official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets such as Associated Press and Reuters.

Trump Leads Harris 47% to 45% Nationwide as Polls Show Dead Heat in Swing States

Oct 25, 2024, 12:10 PM

Recent polls indicate a close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump as the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election approaches. A Wall Street Journal poll of 1,500 voters conducted from October 19-22 shows Trump leading Harris by 2 percentage points nationally, 47% to 45%, within a margin of error of ±2.5%. This marks a shift from the previous WSJ poll in August where Harris led by 2 points. In battleground states, a CNBC poll reports Trump at 48% and Harris at 47%. Bloomberg News/Morning Consult polls indicate that the candidates are statistically tied among likely voters in seven key swing states. The New York Times/Siena College poll also reports a tie between Harris and Trump at 48% each among likely voters, reflecting an electorate that is both polarized and frozen. CNN's final nationwide poll mirrors this deadlock, showing both candidates with 47% support among likely voters. The RealClearPolitics national average now shows a tie between Harris and Trump at 48.5%. Additionally, the WSJ poll notes that voters remember Trump's presidency more fondly as negative views of Harris grow. These polls suggest a highly competitive election, with both candidates battling for an edge in a deeply divided electorate.