Loading...
Market
AFL-CIO initiates nationwide strike against Trump policies by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
AFL-CIO announcements or coverage in major news outlets
Story
SEIU Rejoins AFL-CIO After 20-Year Disaffiliation, Boosting Membership to 15 Million Amid Trump Administration Challenges
Jan 9, 2025, 12:07 AM
The Service Employees International Union (SEIU) has officially rejoined the AFL-CIO after a 20-year disaffiliation, marking a significant development in the U.S. labor movement. With this reunion, the AFL-CIO's total membership rises to 15 million workers, solidifying its status as the largest labor federation in the country. The AFL-CIO is preparing 'rapid response' plans to address challenges posed by mass deportations and workplace raids, particularly in light of actions anticipated under the Trump administration. AFL-CIO President Liz Shuler emphasized the provision of resources to inform immigrant workers of their rights and prepare for potential confrontations against these policies. Union leaders, including April Verrett, highlighted the importance of this move in strengthening the labor movement and combating a long-standing assault on workers' rights.
View original story
Similar markets
Healthcare worker support • 25%
Other • 25%
Immigrant protections • 25%
Workers' rights • 25%
Strike occurs • 25%
Strike postponed • 25%
Strike called off after negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reversal of joint-employer standards • 25%
Other major labor policy • 25%
Right-to-work policy expansion • 25%
Limitations on union organizing • 25%
Full concessions granted • 25%
Partial concessions granted • 25%
Strike ongoing • 25%
Strike ends without concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Union recognition granted • 25%
Negotiations initiated without recognition • 25%
Strike ends without concessions • 25%
