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Additional chemical weapon charges against Russian officials by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Ukrainian prosecutors or verified news reports
Story
Russian Chemical Defense Chief Killed in Moscow Bombing
Dec 17, 2024, 05:39 AM
On December 17 at around 6 am, an explosion occurred on Ryazansky Prospekt in Moscow, resulting in the deaths of two people, including Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, the head of Russia's radiation, chemical, and biological defense forces, and his assistant, identified as Ilya P. The explosive device, equivalent to approximately 200 grams of TNT, was concealed in an electric scooter near the entrance of an apartment building. The powerful blast caused damage to nearby buildings, shattering windows and doors. Russian authorities have opened a criminal investigation into the incident, and emergency services are on the scene. The explosion occurred a day after Ukrainian prosecutors charged Kirillov with the use of banned chemical weapons in Ukraine.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Internal Russian entity • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
Russian government • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
2 additional charges • 25%
1 additional charge • 25%
No additional charges • 25%
3 or more additional charges • 25%
