Loading...
Market
Will young voter turnout exceed 50% in the 2024 Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official voter turnout data released by the Federal Election Commission for the 2024 presidential election.
Story
2024 Election: Biden's Lead Over Trump Narrows to 45%-37% Among Young Voters
Apr 21, 2024, 11:29 AM
Recent polls indicate a significant shift in the political landscape among young voters ahead of the 2024 presidential election. A Harvard Youth Poll shows President Joe Biden holding a 45% to 37% lead over former President Donald Trump among voters aged 18 to 29, with 16% undecided. This marks a notable decrease from Biden's 2020 lead in the same demographic, which was 51% to 28%. Additionally, an NBC News poll highlights that Biden has trimmed Trump's lead to just 2 points in a head-to-head contest. The erosion of Biden's support among young voters, amid economic strains and dissatisfaction, is highlighted by multiple sources, including a Reuters/Ipsos poll. This trend could impact Biden's chances for re-election, as young voters play a crucial role in the electoral process.
View original story
Similar markets
Higher than 2020 • 33%
Lower than 2020 • 33%
Same as 2020 • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Turnout exceeds 50% • 50%
Turnout below 50% • 50%