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Will Xi Jinping attend the U.S. Presidential Inauguration on January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from the U.S. Presidential Inauguration or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Invites Xi Jinping to January 20th Inauguration Despite Tariff Threats
Dec 12, 2024, 09:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has extended an invitation to Chinese President Xi Jinping to attend his inauguration on January 20th, despite ongoing tensions over trade and geopolitical issues. This move is seen as an attempt to foster dialogue with both allies and competitors. However, sources indicate that Xi Jinping is not expected to attend the ceremony in person, with China likely to send a high-level delegation in his place. The invitation comes amidst Trump's threats to impose massive tariffs on Chinese goods and his administration's efforts to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking from China. The decision to invite Xi has surprised both Beijing and U.S. allies, given the complex dynamics of U.S.-China relations and the absence of precedent for foreign leaders attending U.S. presidential inaugurations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official state visit • 25%
Unofficial visit • 25%
Bilateral talks • 25%
Other • 25%
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No • 50%
Accepts • 25%
Declines • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepts and attends • 25%
Declines the invitation • 25%
Accepts but does not attend • 25%
No response by inauguration • 25%
Attend personally • 25%
Send a high-level delegation • 25%
Decline the invitation • 25%
No response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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