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Market
Will World Aquatics change their transgender athlete rules by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from World Aquatics
Story
Transgender Swimmer Lia Thomas Loses Legal Battle, Barred from Olympics
Jun 12, 2024, 05:11 PM
Lia Thomas, the US swimmer and first transgender athlete to win an NCAA college title, has lost a legal case against World Aquatics at the Court of Arbitration for Sport. This ruling bars her from competing in the upcoming Olympics. The legal battle centered on rules that prohibit transgender athletes who have experienced male puberty from participating in elite women's races. World Aquatics hailed the decision as a major step forward in efforts to protect women's sport. Thomas had argued that the rules were 'invalid and unlawful.' The ruling is seen as a fatal legal blow to her Olympic aspirations.
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Upheld • 33%
Modified • 33%
Overturned • 33%
No changes • 33%
Changes in one sport organization • 33%
Changes in multiple sport organizations • 33%
No further legal actions • 33%
1-2 legal actions • 33%
More than 2 legal actions • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Swimming • 25%
Track and Field • 25%
Cycling • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes, others follow • 33%
No, others do not follow • 33%
Mixed responses • 34%
