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Will video evidence confirm the cause of the Russian Su-25 crash by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Video Confirms Ukrainian Attack • 25%
Video Confirms Friendly Fire • 25%
No Video Released • 25%
Video Confirms Other Cause • 25%
Credible international news agencies or military sources
Story
Russian Su-25 Crashes Near Konstiantynivka; Claims of Being Shot Down by Ukraine or Friendly Fire
Oct 5, 2024, 09:17 AM
A Russian Su-25 close air support aircraft crashed this morning near Konstiantynivka in the Donetsk region. Ukrainian sources report that the plane was shot down by Ukrainian forces on the Donetsk front. Videos from the crash site show Ukrainians at the scene, and the aircraft appears to have crashed on territory controlled by Ukrainian forces. However, some reports suggest that the aircraft may have been shot down by friendly fire from another Russian aircraft. The status of the pilot remains unknown.
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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Mechanical Failure • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
Hostile Action • 25%
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Ukrainian Government involvement • 25%
Ukrainian Separatist Groups involvement • 25%
Russian Dissidents involvement • 25%
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Technical malfunction • 25%
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Friendly Fire • 25%
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