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Market
Will U.S. mail delivery issues cause significant delays in counting mailed ballots in the 2024 presidential election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Election Assistance Commission or major news outlets
Story
Election Officials Warn Widespread U.S. Mail Delivery Issues Could Disrupt Presidential Voting
Sep 11, 2024, 04:16 PM
Election officials across the United States are raising alarms about widespread delivery problems with the U.S. mail system, warning that these issues could disrupt voting in the upcoming presidential election. Officials have highlighted that persistent deficiencies in the postal service have not been addressed, and these problems were evident during the recent primary season. Mailed ballots that were postmarked on time were received late, which could potentially disenfranchise voters in the November election. The warnings come from Topeka, Kan., and officials note that the Postmaster General has not changed since 2020.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 3% • 25%
3% to 5% • 25%
More than 5% • 25%
USPS delays • 25%
Voter error • 25%
State processing delays • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant impact • 25%
Slightly favors Democrats • 25%
Slightly favors Republicans • 25%
Significantly impacts the final result • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
