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Will U.S. Intelligence confirm Russian assistance to Trump by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. Intelligence reports, major news outlets
Story
Patrushev: Trump Owes Russia for Election Help, Must Fulfill Obligations
Nov 12, 2024, 03:28 AM
Nikolay Patrushev, Putin's spy chief and former head of the FSB, has publicly stated that former U.S. President Donald Trump relied on Russian assistance to win the presidential election. Patrushev emphasized that Trump now has 'corresponding obligations' to fulfill as a result of this support, hinting at a veiled threat that Trump must deliver on the agreed-upon quid pro quo. This statement implies a quid pro quo arrangement between Trump and Russia, suggesting that Trump's election success was tied to an agreement to meet certain demands from Russian forces.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
White House • 25%
Kremlin • 25%
Washington Post • 25%
No confirmation/denial • 25%
