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Market
Will US export controls on AI chips significantly impact the global semiconductor market by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major financial news outlets like Bloomberg or Reuters
Story
Biden Administration Weighs Capping Nvidia, AMD AI Chip Exports to Persian Gulf Nations
Oct 15, 2024, 01:00 AM
According to Bloomberg reports, the Biden administration is considering imposing export controls on advanced AI chips produced by Nvidia, AMD, and other American companies to certain nations, focusing on countries in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf region. The potential restrictions aim to limit the transfer of cutting-edge technology that could accelerate artificial intelligence development in these countries. Talks are reportedly in early stages, and the move could impact the global semiconductor market.
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Similar markets
Nvidia • 25%
AMD • 25%
Intel • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant disruptions • 25%
Moderate disruptions • 25%
Minimal disruptions • 25%
No disruptions • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant slowdown • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Acceleration due to alternatives • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
