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Market
Will Turkey formally recognize Ahmed al-Sharaa as Syria's leader by June 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Turkish government or major international news outlets
Story
Turkey Engages with Ahmed al-Sharaa, Promises Support Post-Assad Ouster
Dec 25, 2024, 09:51 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced that Turkey is in close dialogue with Ahmed al-Sharaa, the de facto leader of Syria, and that visits to Syria will increase. Erdogan emphasized Turkey's stance on the Syrian crisis, stating that Turkey has been on the right side of history since the crisis began. He highlighted Turkey's policy of compassion and support for the Syrian people, promising continued assistance to those who wish to return to Syria without forcing anyone to leave. Erdogan also mentioned that Turkey will support Syria's new administration as the country rebuilds following the ouster of Bashar al-Assad, marking a new page in Syria after 61 years of oppression under the Ba'ath regime. He condemned the Assad regime's actions, noting that Assad fled Syria, and vowed to combat all terrorist organizations exploiting the situation in Syria.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Bashar al-Assad's government • 25%
No official recognition • 25%
A coalition government • 25%
Ahmed al-Sharaa's administration • 25%
Not recognized by any • 25%
Status unclear • 25%
Recognized by all major Western countries • 25%
Recognized by some, not all • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Opposition Leader • 25%
Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali • 25%
Military Leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Current Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Interim Government • 25%
No recognized leader • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
SNA Leadership • 25%
Bashar Al-Assad • 25%
HTS Leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Mohammed Ghazi al-Jalali • 25%
Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Military leader • 25%
Current interim leader • 25%
Ahmed al-Sharaa (Jolani) • 25%
Newly elected leader • 25%