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Will Trump's team launch a commission to investigate the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Trump's transition team or major news outlets
Story
Trump Team Eyes Court-Martials, Treason Charges in Afghanistan Withdrawal Probe
Nov 17, 2024, 02:44 AM
According to NBC News, the Trump transition team is compiling a list of current and former U.S. military officers who were involved in the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal and is exploring whether they could be court-martialed for their involvement. The team plans to launch a commission to investigate the chaotic withdrawal, which former President Donald Trump called a "humiliation." Charges of treason are being considered for some officers. The inquiry aims to uncover who was involved in the military's decision-making and how the decisions were made, holding accountable those responsible for leadership failures.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Treason charges recommended • 25%
Court-martial recommended • 25%
No charges recommended • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
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No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor procedural errors • 25%
Major failures identified • 25%
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
No investigation initiated • 25%
Investigation initiated, no significant findings • 25%
Investigation initiated, significant findings against the Biden-Harris administration • 25%
Investigation initiated, significant findings in favor of the Biden-Harris administration • 25%
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No • 50%
No action taken • 25%
Reprimand issued • 25%
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Department of Defense • 25%
Congressional Committee • 25%
Independent Commission • 25%
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No action taken • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
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